Monday, August 06, 2018

Poll: Stitt leads by 10%; other primary leaders ahead in their races


The Remington Research Group has released an extensive new poll on all of the GOP runoff races.

Remington Research Group GOP Runoff Poll (link 1,757 likely Republican runoff voters, conducted August 1st and 2nd.
Overall MoE +/- 2.3%. 
Governor:
  • Kevin Stitt- 47%
  • Mick Cornett - 37% 
  • Undecided - 16%
Stitt leads Cornett in the 1st District (56%-28%), 2nd District (52%-28%), among conservatives (50%-35%), self-identified Christian voters (53%-32%), among Trump voters (54%-33%), and among Tea Party supporters (54%-25%).

Cornett leads in the 5th District (47%-41%), among moderates (43%-39%), liberals (43%-21%), traditional Republicans (57%-28%), and libertarians (41%-34%).

The 3rd and 4th Congressional Districts are tied up, with Stitt at 42% and Cornett at 41% in both.
Lieutenant Governor:
  • Dana Murphy - 40% 
  • Matt Pinnell - 32% 
  • Undecided - 28%
Murphy leads in the 1st District (36%-32%), 3rd District (46%-28%), 4th District (40%-33%), 5th District (46%-30%), among moderates (48%-22%), liberals (31%-20%), traditional GOP (50%-25%), Trump voters (40%-32%), libertarians (49%-27%) and Tea Party supporters (46%-19%).

Pinnell leads in the 2nd District (35%-31%). Conservatives narrowly lean to Murphy (38%-35%) while Christian voters are tied at 37%.
State Auditor:
  • Cindy Byrd - 35% 
  • Charlie Prater - 33% 
  • Undecided - 32%
Most demographics are either a narrow Byrd lead or a statistical tie.
Attorney General:
  • Mike Hunter - 46% 
  • Gentner Drummond - 37% 
  • Undecided - 17%
Hunter leads in the 3rd District (48%-33%), 4th District (50%-32%), 5th District (51%-32%), among every ideological breakdown, and among traditional GOP, Christian, and Trump voters.

Drummond leads in the 1st District (46%-39%), 2nd District (44%-40%), among libertarian (42%-39%) and Tea Party voters (44%-30%).
State Superintendent:
  • Joy Hofmeister - 50% 
  • Linda Murphy - 33% 
  • Undecided - 17%
Hofmeister leads in every demographic/ideological category.
Labor Commissioner:
  • Cathy Costello - 40% 
  • Leslie Osborn - 32% 
  • Undecided - 28%
Costello leads in the 1st District (41%-28%), 2nd District (38%-27%), 3rd District (38%-35%), and 5th District (47%-35%). She also leads among conservatives (43%-31%), traditional GOP (39%-35%), Christian (43%-33%), Trump supporters (39%-32%), and Tea Party supporters (51%-20%).

Osborn leads among liberals (34%-24%), moderates (36%-35%), and libertarians (40%-39%). The 4th District is a 37%-37% tie.
Corporation Commissioner:
  • Bob Anthony - 50% 
  • Brian Bingman - 30% 
  • Undecided - 20%
Anthony leads every category except libertarian GOP, where Bingman leads 40% to 36%.

Crosstabs for the poll can be viewed here.

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